June was an extraordinary month in more than one way extraordinary heat wave a few days before the summer solstice and abundant rainfall in recent days produced by various stormy disturbances. By the wayJune 2022 marks the first month of the year with above-normal national cumulative precipitationespecially from Brittany to Île-de-France and from Center-Val de Loire to New Aquitaine to allow drought to subside. But this wet weather will be short-lived because the anticyclone is about to return from the west of the country…
Towards a new heatwave in early July?
After the stormy weather of the past few days, High pressure will return from the west over the weekend. The sun will rule so obviously everywhere from the first weekend of July to Friday. It will also be accompanied by a sharp rise in temperatures, so that the heat settles again. During the warmest hours, it will average between 20 and 24°C near the Channel, 26 to 30°C in the rest of the northern half and up to Lyonnais, and between 28 and 34°C in the south. Peaks above 35°C are expected in the Mediterranean parts.
The next week, from July 4-10, looks like it will be calm and anticyclonic. with high pressures positioned over the near Atlantic, more than 1030 or even 1040 hPa. Under these conditions, the sun will dominate the entire region. with some thunderstorms made possible by daily evolution over the relief and mainly over the Alps and the Pyrenees. The temperatures will contrast with maintaining high heat. It spreads from the Maghreb to Italy and the Mediterranean region. But further north, the mercury will drop. with the establishment of a small stream from the northeastern sector. Therefore, temperatures in these regions will be seasonal.
Lack of rain and dry soil, return
As we approach mid-July, no change in weather conditions is expected. at the moment. Summer conditions will continue to dominate, with a particularly strong anticyclone near the country. Several thunderstorms will be possible in the mountains In the afternoon, temperatures may start to rise again with the effect of a flow moving to the southeast. After a break on the drought front thanks to storms in late June, soils and vegetation will become increasingly drier as the days go by.
And this situation may worsen in the second half of the month.… The latest weekly trends confirm the persistence of an anticyclonic blockade synonymous with dry weather. Precipitation will therefore be rare and only brought by a few storms that can occur here or there. As for the temperatures, they should still be higher than normal. It is seasonal in the north as well as in the south.
Therefore, a hotter and drier-than-usual July raises fears of new periods of high temperatures and even heat waves.. In addition, with the increasing drought, the risk of fire may make the news again in the coming weeks, not only in the Mediterranean regions…