“The epidemic is not over” incidence rate is on the rise again

Coronavirus in France:

COVID. A new “warning note” from the Science Council warns: “The epidemic is not over!” The latest coronavirus figures released by Public Health France show that indicators are on the rise again.

[Mis à jour le 18 mars 2022 à 16h23] The latest coronavirus numbers are cause for concern. The incidence rate is again close to 750 cases per 100,000 people. Similarly, on Friday, March 18, the 100,000 new contamination threshold was again exceeded. Indicators confirming the message sent by the Scientific Committee a few days ago.

As a matter of fact, the Science Board warns in a new “warning note” it published to the government on Friday, March 11, but sent to the press on Tuesday, March 15: “The epidemic is not over!” Currently, an increase in the number of daily cases is observed, suggesting a multi-factor recovery. Thus, various explanations are put forward, such as the relaxation of the population, even the start of the school year and the decrease in immunity.

The Scientific Council also regrets that the COVID-19 pandemic has lingered in the background since Ukraine was invaded by Russia. He also warns that “the number of hospitalizations will increase temporarily in the coming weeks” and is more generally concerned that “the epidemic is being trivialized in society”.

Emphasizing the importance of “continuing protective measures in the elderly, frail and immunocompromised people”, the Science Council recommends that the fourth dose be extended to people aged 65-80, and calls for “acceleration of vaccination of children aged 5-11 with medical risk factors”. ” and increasing prescriptions for the antiviral Paxlovid, which limits the risk of a serious form. For more information on the figures for the coronavirus outbreak in France, you can check out our related article.

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According to the latest epidemiological update of the Public Health Agency of France (SPF) published in week 10 on Thursday, March 17, “The incidence rate, which was still very high at week 10, started to rise again (+25 %) R greater than 1 (1.11). -effective, confirming accelerated circulation of SARS-CoV-2 in the region”.

  • In mainland France, incidence rate Adjusted increases for all age groups and all regions at week 10 (March 7 to March 13, 2022) compared to week 9. 686 (ie +25% compared to the previous week when the incidence rate was 548 positive cases per 100,000 population). This reduction was observed in all age groups and in all regions, notes at this point in the SPF. Likewise, the positivity rate (23.4%, +2.7 points) continues to increase in all age groups.
  • The effective reproduction rate of the virus, says R, increased at 10 weeks. Evaluates at 1.11 (versus 0.81 in W09).
  • The number of new hospitalizations of Covid-19 patients fell in H10. Indicators by date of referral showed 5,680 new hospitalizations of Covid-19 patients at week 10 (compared to 5,979 in S09, i.e. -5%). There were also 578 new ICU admissions of Covid patients in S10, compared to 696 in S09 (i.e. 17%).
  • The Omicron variant of the coronavirus is still in the majority in France at S09. At S09 (preliminary data), the Flash questionnaire was suspected and confirmed in 99.9% of interpretable sequence screening tests. The sub-variant BA.2, the sub-variant of the Omicron mutation, is still increasing and predominant (57% of cases in S09).
  • Vaccination efforts against Covid-19 continue: As of March 15, 2022, 79.5% of the total population received a full primary vaccine, and 73% of those aged 18 years and older (82.6% among eligible persons) and 83% of those aged 65 and over had received a booster dose. more (91.0% among eligible).

Follow the evolution of the coronavirus in your municipality with the map below. Click on a department to view the list of municipalities. You can also find all the details about this mapping and the exact point by city and department in our article on the Covid map in France.

Click on a department to view a list of its cities.

Since mid-October 2020, Public Health France has been transmitting incidence data at the municipal level (cases per 100,000 inhabitants). Figures are transmitted on a scale at this stage (10, 20, 50, 150, 250, 500, 1000 cases, per 100,000 people). Data are expressed over a variable week; this means it is calculated on a D-day from tests performed 3 to 9 days ago. To find information about the coronavirus in your municipality, enter its name into the search engine or click on the relevant section on the map below.

As a reminder, the incidence rate corresponds to the number of new Covid-19 cases in a week compared to the total population of a region (country, district, department or municipality). This indicator is usually expressed as the number of cases per 100,000 people. The screening rate gives the number of people who screened for coronavirus in the total population during the period. It is also most commonly expressed per 100,000 inhabitants. Finally, the test positivity rate gives the percentage of positive tests for coronavirus compared to the total number of tests performed during the period.